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SPCX OUTLOOK: BEARISH PROTECTIVE PUT CYCLE chain: 2026-11-06 18:07:10.324125
Shares
61
Last Price
$134.27
close $123.62
Position Value
$8,190.47
Share Delta
+0.61
Hedged Delta
0.00
Net Delta
+0.61
UNHEDGED
★ Recommended hedge: BUY 1x SPCX 12/18/26 $145.00 PUT @ ~16.75 ($1,675.00) — delta -0.608 vs share delta +0.61 → net +0.00. OI 19,880, IV 59.0%, spread 2.4%. Sell it into the next leg down, buy more shares, re-hedge.
HEDGE CANDIDATES — PUTS 30–120 DTE (ranked by delta fit)
Expiry Strike Bid / Ask Mark Delta IV OI Rel Sprd Ctrcts→0Δ Net Δ (1x) Cost (1x)
12/18/26 (42d)$145.0016.55 / 16.9516.75-0.60859.0%19,8802.4%1.00+0.00$1,675.00
SPCX 12/18/26 $145.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/28
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/2810.10 / 10.3510.23-0.46847.0%19,455
10/2910.65 / 10.8010.73+4.9%-0.49351.0%19,791
10/3016.05 / 16.4516.25+51.4%-0.60353.0%19,892
11/0215.40 / 15.8015.60-4.0%-0.57857.0%19,957
11/0312.40 / 12.7012.55-19.6%-0.50856.0%19,883
11/0414.90 / 15.2515.08+20.2%-0.60854.0%19,866
11/0524.00 / 25.0524.53+62.7%-0.76261.0%19,928
11/0616.55 / 16.9516.75-31.7%-0.60859.0%19,880
01/15/27 (70d)$145.0018.75 / 19.2018.98-0.56757.0%8,4282.4%1.08+0.04$1,898.00
SPCX 01/15/27 $145.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/28
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/2812.30 / 12.5012.40-0.46146.0%7,384
10/2912.65 / 13.0012.83+3.5%-0.48645.0%8,543
10/3018.10 / 18.5518.33+42.9%-0.56653.0%8,506
11/0217.50 / 17.9017.70-3.4%-0.54555.0%8,549
11/0314.55 / 15.0014.78-16.5%-0.48855.0%8,516
11/0417.05 / 17.4517.25+16.7%-0.56853.0%8,524
11/0525.55 / 26.7526.15+51.6%-0.70059.0%8,485
11/0618.75 / 19.2018.98-27.4%-0.56757.0%8,428
12/11/26 (35d)$140.0012.25 / 13.3012.78-0.54861.0%2498.2%1.11+0.06$1,278.00
SPCX 12/11/26 $140.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/296.85 / 7.757.30-0.41446.0%0
10/3011.90 / 12.7512.33+68.9%-0.54254.0%28
11/0211.55 / 12.4011.98-2.8%-0.51858.0%74
11/039.00 / 9.859.43-21.3%-0.44255.0%160
11/0410.95 / 11.7011.33+20.1%-0.54054.0%200
11/0517.15 / 21.0519.10+68.6%-0.73661.0%220
11/0612.25 / 13.3012.78-33.1%-0.54861.0%249
12/18/26 (42d)$140.0013.60 / 13.8013.70-0.53960.0%23,8461.5%1.13+0.07$1,370.00
SPCX 12/18/26 $140.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/28
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/287.80 / 8.007.90-0.39048.0%22,078
10/298.10 / 8.358.23+4.2%-0.41647.0%22,581
10/3013.00 / 13.2513.13+59.5%-0.53254.0%22,848
11/0212.45 / 12.7012.58-4.2%-0.50857.0%23,477
11/039.90 / 10.1510.03-20.3%-0.43954.0%23,647
11/0411.90 / 12.2012.05+20.1%-0.53155.0%24,062
11/0520.05 / 21.2520.65+71.4%-0.70261.0%24,011
11/0613.60 / 13.8013.70-33.7%-0.53960.0%23,846
02/19/27 (105d)$145.0021.20 / 22.4021.80-0.53059.0%2,7975.5%1.15+0.08$2,180.00
SPCX 02/19/27 $145.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/28
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/2815.15 / 15.5015.33-0.45047.0%2,365
10/2915.55 / 15.9015.73+2.6%-0.47446.0%2,373
10/3020.90 / 21.3521.13+34.3%-0.53055.0%2,634
11/0220.35 / 20.8520.60-2.5%-0.51457.0%2,645
11/0317.75 / 18.2017.98-12.7%-0.46757.0%2,768
11/0420.10 / 20.5520.33+13.1%-0.52956.0%2,761
11/0527.50 / 28.9528.23+38.9%-0.64159.0%2,762
11/0621.20 / 22.4021.80-22.8%-0.53059.0%2,797
01/15/27 (70d)$140.0015.80 / 16.2016.00-0.51158.0%21,6642.5%1.19+0.10$1,600.00
SPCX 01/15/27 $140.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/28
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/289.90 / 10.1510.03-0.39647.0%20,929
10/299.95 / 10.5010.23+2.0%-0.41746.0%21,071
10/3015.15 / 15.4015.28+49.4%-0.50854.0%21,440
11/0214.60 / 14.8514.73-3.6%-0.48956.0%21,683
11/0312.15 / 12.4012.28-16.6%-0.43551.0%21,933
11/0414.15 / 14.4014.28+16.3%-0.50754.0%21,964
11/0521.70 / 23.0522.38+56.7%-0.64859.0%21,726
11/0615.80 / 16.2016.00-28.5%-0.51158.0%21,664
12/11/26 (35d)$135.009.90 / 10.4010.15-0.47261.0%6094.9%1.29+0.14$1,015.00
SPCX 12/11/26 $135.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/294.75 / 5.755.25-0.32646.0%0
10/309.40 / 10.059.73+85.3%-0.46652.0%30
11/029.00 / 9.759.38-3.6%-0.44356.0%339
11/037.00 / 7.357.18-23.5%-0.36556.0%382
11/048.30 / 8.858.57+19.4%-0.45652.0%383
11/0516.05 / 17.1016.58+93.5%-0.64863.0%454
11/069.90 / 10.4010.15-38.8%-0.47261.0%609
12/18/26 (42d)$135.0010.80 / 11.2011.00-0.46761.0%22,5083.6%1.31+0.14$1,100.00
SPCX 12/18/26 $135.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/28
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/285.80 / 6.005.90-0.31648.0%25,451
10/296.05 / 6.256.15+4.2%-0.33748.0%26,830
10/3010.30 / 10.4510.38+68.8%-0.46252.0%26,900
11/029.90 / 10.1010.00-3.7%-0.43955.0%27,741
11/037.70 / 7.957.83-21.7%-0.36755.0%27,805
11/049.30 / 9.559.43+20.4%-0.45552.0%25,167
11/0516.55 / 17.6517.10+81.3%-0.63263.0%24,516
11/0610.80 / 11.2011.00-35.7%-0.46761.0%22,508
02/19/27 (105d)$140.0018.50 / 19.1518.83-0.48459.0%6,7003.5%1.26+0.13$1,883.00
SPCX 02/19/27 $140.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/28
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/2812.70 / 13.0012.85-0.39848.0%6,150
10/2913.00 / 13.3513.18+2.6%-0.41947.0%6,154
10/3017.85 / 18.3518.10+37.3%-0.48455.0%6,199
11/0217.50 / 17.8017.65-2.5%-0.46957.0%6,333
11/0315.15 / 15.4515.30-13.3%-0.42752.0%6,517
11/0417.25 / 17.6017.43+13.9%-0.48256.0%6,535
11/0524.15 / 25.3524.75+42.0%-0.59860.0%6,619
11/0618.50 / 19.1518.83-23.9%-0.48459.0%6,700
01/15/27 (70d)$135.0013.20 / 13.4513.33-0.45755.0%15,2171.9%1.33+0.15$1,333.00
SPCX 01/15/27 $135.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/28
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/287.80 / 8.057.93-0.33447.0%14,714
10/298.00 / 8.258.13+2.5%-0.35246.0%15,043
10/3012.40 / 12.6512.53+54.1%-0.45550.0%15,112
11/0212.05 / 12.3512.20-2.6%-0.43452.0%15,894
11/039.90 / 10.1510.03-17.8%-0.37552.0%15,841
11/0411.55 / 11.8011.68+16.5%-0.44950.0%16,052
11/0518.60 / 19.5019.05+63.1%-0.59160.0%16,101
11/0613.20 / 13.4513.33-30.0%-0.45755.0%15,217
02/19/27 (105d)$135.0015.85 / 16.5016.18-0.44555.0%9,2744.0%1.37+0.16$1,618.00
SPCX 02/19/27 $135.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/28
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/2810.45 / 10.8010.63-0.34748.0%9,112
10/2910.65 / 10.9010.78+1.4%-0.36547.0%9,111
10/3015.20 / 15.4515.33+42.2%-0.44351.0%9,143
11/0214.90 / 15.1515.03-2.0%-0.42753.0%9,159
11/0312.85 / 13.1012.98-13.6%-0.37853.0%9,262
11/0414.50 / 14.9014.70+13.3%-0.43951.0%9,274
11/0521.20 / 21.9521.58+46.8%-0.55260.0%9,308
11/0615.85 / 16.5016.18-25.0%-0.44555.0%9,274
12/11/26 (35d)$130.007.55 / 8.057.80-0.39359.0%6006.4%1.55+0.22$780.00
SPCX 12/11/26 $130.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/293.60 / 4.153.88-0.25248.0%0
10/304.55 / 7.706.13+58.0%-0.37846.0%109
11/026.95 / 7.407.18+17.1%-0.36557.0%224
11/035.00 / 5.555.28-26.5%-0.29156.0%356
11/046.20 / 6.656.43+21.8%-0.36953.0%373
11/0512.85 / 14.1513.50+110.0%-0.56763.0%427
11/067.55 / 8.057.80-42.2%-0.39359.0%600
12/18/26 (42d)$130.008.50 / 8.808.65-0.39659.0%24,7953.5%1.54+0.21$865.00
SPCX 12/18/26 $130.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/28
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/284.25 / 4.404.33-0.24849.0%27,237
10/294.40 / 4.604.50+3.9%-0.26549.0%28,100
10/308.00 / 8.208.10+80.0%-0.38653.0%28,723
11/027.75 / 7.957.85-3.1%-0.36756.0%30,460
11/035.90 / 6.106.00-23.6%-0.29956.0%30,909
11/047.10 / 7.307.20+20.0%-0.37453.0%31,293
11/0513.75 / 14.4014.08+95.6%-0.55964.0%31,495
11/068.50 / 8.808.65-38.6%-0.39659.0%24,795
01/15/27 (70d)$130.0010.80 / 11.1010.95-0.39656.0%15,0602.7%1.54+0.21$1,095.00
SPCX 01/15/27 $130.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
10/28
10/29
10/30
11/02
11/03
11/04
11/05
11/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
10/286.05 / 6.206.13-0.27548.0%14,415
10/296.15 / 6.406.28+2.4%-0.29047.0%14,525
10/3010.05 / 10.2510.15+61.6%-0.39151.0%14,590
11/029.80 / 9.959.88-2.7%-0.37453.0%14,840
11/037.95 / 8.208.07-18.3%-0.31853.0%15,051
11/049.25 / 9.509.38+16.2%-0.38351.0%15,049
11/0515.60 / 16.3515.98+70.4%-0.53160.0%15,209
11/0610.80 / 11.1010.95-31.5%-0.39656.0%15,060
SCENARIOS — SPCX DOWN MOVE, HOLDING 61 SHARES + 1x 12/18/26 $145.00 PUT (estimate ⓘ)
MovePrice Shares P/L Put P/L (1x) Net P/L
-5%$127.56$-409.52+$439.73$30.21
-10%$120.84$-819.05+$942.56$123.51
-15%$114.13$-1,228.57+$1,508.49$279.92
-20%$107.42$-1,638.09+$2,137.52$499.43
THE PROTECTIVE PUT CYCLE
1HEDGEBuy puts sized to your share delta (shares ÷ 100). A put whose delta matches makes the combined position ≈ delta neutral.
2STOCK DROPSShares lose value, but the puts gain roughly dollar-for-dollar (delta) plus acceleration (gamma).
3SELL PUTSHarvest the put gains after the down-move. Don't hold to expiry — theta eats the hedge.
4BUY SHARESUse the put proceeds to buy more shares at the lower price. Cost basis drops, share count grows.
5REPEATRe-hedge the larger position with new puts (recheck the table above — you now need more delta) and wait for the next leg down.
Adding positions: edit screeners/delta_neutral/delta_neutral_positions.json — add a ticker, share count, and strategy params (DTE window, min open interest, max spread), then rerun python generate_delta_neutral.py. Each position renders its own hedge card on this page. Scenario P/L is a delta+gamma estimate from real chain greeks; it ignores IV changes and time decay.