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SPCX OUTLOOK: BEARISH PROTECTIVE PUT CYCLE chain: 2026-09-21 18:04:19.728459
Shares
61
Last Price
$151.85
close $152.71
Position Value
$9,262.85
Share Delta
+0.61
Hedged Delta
0.00
Net Delta
+0.61
UNHEDGED
★ Recommended hedge: BUY 1x SPCX 10/23/26 $160.00 PUT @ ~13.13 ($1,313.00) — delta -0.609 vs share delta +0.61 → net +0.00. OI 220, IV 50.0%, spread 8.0%. Sell it into the next leg down, buy more shares, re-hedge.
HEDGE CANDIDATES — PUTS 30–120 DTE (ranked by delta fit)
Expiry Strike Bid / Ask Mark Delta IV OI Rel Sprd Ctrcts→0Δ Net Δ (1x) Cost (1x)
10/23/26 (32d)$160.0012.60 / 13.6513.13-0.60950.0%2208.0%1.00+0.00$1,313.00
SPCX 10/23/26 $160.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1016.05 / 18.6017.33-0.63052.0%183
09/1114.70 / 15.6515.18-12.4%-0.59551.0%195
09/1415.85 / 16.9016.38+7.9%-0.64751.0%189
09/1518.05 / 21.6519.85+21.2%-0.71651.0%194
09/1614.25 / 15.8015.03-24.3%-0.60552.0%254
09/1712.05 / 12.4512.25-18.5%-0.55250.0%211
09/189.95 / 15.4512.70+3.7%-0.59049.0%226
09/2112.60 / 13.6513.13+3.4%-0.60950.0%220
10/30/26 (39d)$160.0014.25 / 15.1514.70-0.59051.0%2086.1%1.03+0.02$1,470.00
SPCX 10/30/26 $160.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1016.00 / 21.7018.85-0.61352.0%0
09/1115.05 / 17.0016.02-15.0%-0.58352.0%0
09/1415.00 / 18.9016.95+5.8%-0.63249.0%2
09/1517.35 / 23.7020.53+21.1%-0.69351.0%64
09/1615.35 / 16.3515.85-22.8%-0.58953.0%64
09/1712.70 / 13.6013.15-17.0%-0.54051.0%83
09/1812.95 / 15.8014.38+9.4%-0.57551.0%200
09/2114.25 / 15.1514.70+2.2%-0.59051.0%208
11/20/26 (60d)$165.0020.75 / 21.0520.90-0.59956.0%6021.4%1.02+0.01$2,090.00
SPCX 11/20/26 $165.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1024.20 / 24.8524.53-0.61857.0%551
09/1122.05 / 22.7522.40-8.7%-0.59056.0%553
09/1423.55 / 24.3523.95+6.9%-0.62856.0%559
09/1526.35 / 27.4526.90+12.3%-0.67956.0%562
09/1621.90 / 22.5522.23-17.4%-0.59957.0%565
09/1719.20 / 19.5519.38-12.8%-0.56455.0%573
09/1819.60 / 20.9020.25+4.5%-0.59054.0%592
09/2120.75 / 21.0520.90+3.2%-0.59956.0%602
10/30/26 (39d)$157.5012.70 / 13.1012.90-0.55351.0%1503.1%1.10+0.06$1,290.00
SPCX 10/30/26 $157.50 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1012.70 / 20.1516.42-0.58252.0%0
09/1113.45 / 15.4014.43-12.1%-0.54952.0%0
09/1414.70 / 16.9015.80+9.5%-0.59649.0%0
09/1516.00 / 21.2018.60+17.7%-0.66251.0%0
09/1613.35 / 15.4014.38-22.7%-0.55653.0%1
09/1711.55 / 11.9011.73-18.4%-0.50551.0%1
09/1811.15 / 14.0012.58+7.2%-0.53951.0%149
09/2112.70 / 13.1012.90+2.5%-0.55351.0%150
12/18/26 (88d)$165.0022.70 / 23.2522.98-0.56855.0%1,8052.4%1.07+0.04$2,298.00
SPCX 12/18/26 $165.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1026.15 / 26.7526.45-0.58456.0%1,782
09/1124.25 / 24.6524.45-7.6%-0.56256.0%1,773
09/1425.60 / 26.1525.88+5.8%-0.59555.0%1,773
09/1528.15 / 29.1028.63+10.6%-0.63955.0%1,773
09/1624.15 / 24.6024.38-14.8%-0.56856.0%1,773
09/1721.30 / 21.7521.53-11.7%-0.53854.0%1,843
09/1821.95 / 23.2022.58+4.9%-0.56054.0%1,805
09/2122.70 / 23.2522.98+1.8%-0.56855.0%1,805
11/20/26 (60d)$160.0017.50 / 17.7017.60-0.54656.0%9831.1%1.12+0.06$1,760.00
SPCX 11/20/26 $160.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1020.85 / 21.3521.10-0.57157.0%885
09/1118.85 / 19.4019.13-9.3%-0.54257.0%950
09/1420.25 / 20.7020.48+7.1%-0.57956.0%950
09/1522.80 / 23.6023.20+13.3%-0.63256.0%948
09/1618.85 / 19.1018.98-18.2%-0.54857.0%949
09/1716.00 / 16.4516.23-14.5%-0.51155.0%960
09/1816.45 / 18.0517.25+6.3%-0.53755.0%1,003
09/2117.50 / 17.7017.60+2.0%-0.54656.0%983
10/23/26 (32d)$155.0010.20 / 10.4510.33-0.52550.0%1042.4%1.16+0.08$1,033.00
SPCX 10/23/26 $155.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1013.75 / 14.3514.05-0.56152.0%37
09/1111.70 / 12.2511.98-14.7%-0.52351.0%79
09/1413.15 / 13.6513.40+11.9%-0.57551.0%83
09/1515.25 / 16.4515.85+18.3%-0.64951.0%87
09/1611.75 / 12.1511.95-24.6%-0.53052.0%80
09/179.35 / 9.509.43-21.1%-0.47448.0%77
09/189.85 / 10.8010.33+9.5%-0.50949.0%126
09/2110.20 / 10.4510.33+0.0%-0.52550.0%104
10/30/26 (39d)$155.0011.25 / 11.4511.35-0.51551.0%1381.8%1.18+0.09$1,135.00
SPCX 10/30/26 $155.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1011.20 / 18.6514.93-0.54852.0%0
09/1112.70 / 13.1512.93-13.4%-0.51752.0%0
09/1413.10 / 14.7513.93+7.7%-0.56049.0%0
09/1514.80 / 19.5017.15+23.1%-0.63051.0%21
09/1612.50 / 13.3012.90-24.8%-0.52154.0%21
09/1710.25 / 10.5510.40-19.4%-0.47248.0%72
09/1810.95 / 11.6011.27+8.4%-0.50351.0%161
09/2111.25 / 11.4511.35+0.7%-0.51551.0%138
01/15/27 (116d)$165.0024.45 / 25.0024.73-0.54754.0%1,3342.2%1.12+0.06$2,473.00
SPCX 01/15/27 $165.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1027.75 / 28.5028.13-0.56455.0%1,320
09/1126.00 / 26.3526.18-6.9%-0.54255.0%1,319
09/1427.25 / 27.7527.50+5.0%-0.57154.0%1,319
09/1529.75 / 30.5030.13+9.6%-0.61254.0%1,319
09/1625.95 / 26.2526.10-13.4%-0.54855.0%1,323
09/1723.10 / 23.5023.30-10.7%-0.52054.0%1,321
09/1823.25 / 24.7524.00+3.0%-0.54054.0%1,326
09/2124.45 / 25.0024.73+3.0%-0.54754.0%1,334
12/18/26 (88d)$160.0019.60 / 19.9519.77-0.52355.0%2,5281.8%1.17+0.09$1,977.00
SPCX 12/18/26 $160.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1022.90 / 23.3523.13-0.54456.0%2,605
09/1121.05 / 21.4021.23-8.2%-0.52155.0%2,601
09/1422.30 / 22.8022.55+6.2%-0.55255.0%2,605
09/1524.80 / 25.4525.13+11.4%-0.59755.0%2,609
09/1621.00 / 21.3521.18-15.7%-0.52556.0%2,595
09/1718.45 / 18.6518.55-12.4%-0.49355.0%2,589
09/1818.95 / 19.5519.25+3.8%-0.51554.0%2,489
09/2119.60 / 19.9519.77+2.7%-0.52355.0%2,528
10/23/26 (32d)$152.508.90 / 9.058.98-0.48251.0%2661.7%1.27+0.13$898.00
SPCX 10/23/26 $152.50 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1012.30 / 13.2512.78-0.52552.0%35
09/1110.60 / 10.7510.68-16.4%-0.48652.0%43
09/1411.60 / 12.1011.85+11.0%-0.53751.0%42
09/1513.60 / 15.3514.48+22.2%-0.61151.0%58
09/1610.40 / 10.5510.48-27.6%-0.49253.0%61
09/178.10 / 8.258.18-21.9%-0.43148.0%106
09/188.65 / 8.808.73+6.7%-0.46846.0%119
09/218.90 / 9.058.98+2.9%-0.48251.0%266
11/20/26 (60d)$155.0014.55 / 14.7514.65-0.49156.0%2,2461.4%1.24+0.12$1,465.00
SPCX 11/20/26 $155.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1017.75 / 18.0517.90-0.52057.0%1,427
09/1116.05 / 16.2516.15-9.8%-0.49157.0%1,551
09/1417.10 / 17.4517.27+6.9%-0.52756.0%1,564
09/1519.50 / 20.0519.77+14.5%-0.58056.0%2,352
09/1615.85 / 16.0015.93-19.4%-0.49757.0%2,351
09/1713.45 / 13.6013.52-15.1%-0.46051.0%2,248
09/1814.10 / 14.3514.23+5.3%-0.48155.0%2,283
09/2114.55 / 14.7514.65+3.0%-0.49156.0%2,246
10/30/26 (39d)$152.509.85 / 10.059.95-0.47751.0%1652.0%1.28+0.13$995.00
SPCX 10/30/26 $152.50 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/109.60 / 17.2013.40-0.51452.0%0
09/1111.30 / 11.7511.53-14.0%-0.48352.0%0
09/1411.70 / 13.2512.48+8.2%-0.52249.0%1
09/1512.70 / 17.6015.15+21.4%-0.59551.0%3
09/1611.25 / 11.6011.43-24.6%-0.48753.0%4
09/179.00 / 9.309.15-19.9%-0.43348.0%11
09/189.65 / 9.909.78+6.9%-0.46847.0%110
09/219.85 / 10.059.95+1.7%-0.47751.0%165
01/15/27 (116d)$160.0021.45 / 21.7021.58-0.50654.0%2,0731.2%1.21+0.10$2,158.00
SPCX 01/15/27 $160.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
09/10
09/11
09/14
09/15
09/16
09/17
09/18
09/21
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
09/1024.50 / 25.1524.83-0.52756.0%2,118
09/1122.90 / 23.1523.03-7.2%-0.50456.0%2,107
09/1424.00 / 24.4024.20+5.1%-0.53355.0%2,110
09/1526.35 / 27.1026.73+10.5%-0.57454.0%2,106
09/1622.75 / 22.9522.85-14.5%-0.50955.0%2,110
09/1720.20 / 20.4520.33-11.0%-0.48054.0%2,106
09/1820.95 / 21.2021.08+3.7%-0.49954.0%2,071
09/2121.45 / 21.7021.58+2.4%-0.50654.0%2,073
SCENARIOS — SPCX DOWN MOVE, HOLDING 61 SHARES + 1x 10/23/26 $160.00 PUT (estimate ⓘ)
MovePrice Shares P/L Put P/L (1x) Net P/L
-5%$144.26$-463.14+$511.38$48.24
-10%$136.66$-926.29+$1,120.76$194.48
-15%$129.07$-1,389.43+$1,828.14$438.71
-20%$121.48$-1,852.57+$2,633.52$780.95
THE PROTECTIVE PUT CYCLE
1HEDGEBuy puts sized to your share delta (shares ÷ 100). A put whose delta matches makes the combined position ≈ delta neutral.
2STOCK DROPSShares lose value, but the puts gain roughly dollar-for-dollar (delta) plus acceleration (gamma).
3SELL PUTSHarvest the put gains after the down-move. Don't hold to expiry — theta eats the hedge.
4BUY SHARESUse the put proceeds to buy more shares at the lower price. Cost basis drops, share count grows.
5REPEATRe-hedge the larger position with new puts (recheck the table above — you now need more delta) and wait for the next leg down.
Adding positions: edit screeners/delta_neutral/delta_neutral_positions.json — add a ticker, share count, and strategy params (DTE window, min open interest, max spread), then rerun python generate_delta_neutral.py. Each position renders its own hedge card on this page. Scenario P/L is a delta+gamma estimate from real chain greeks; it ignores IV changes and time decay.