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SPCX OUTLOOK: BEARISH PROTECTIVE PUT CYCLE chain: 2026-08-06 18:13:49.138726
Shares
61
Last Price
$114.92
close $108.27
Position Value
$7,010.12
Share Delta
+0.61
Hedged Delta
0.00
Net Delta
+0.61
UNHEDGED
★ Recommended hedge: BUY 1x SPCX 09/11/26 $125.00 PUT @ ~18.23 ($1,823.00) — delta -0.570 vs share delta +0.61 → net +0.04. OI 395, IV 86.0%, spread 1.9%. Sell it into the next leg down, buy more shares, re-hedge.
HEDGE CANDIDATES — PUTS 30–120 DTE (ranked by delta fit)
Expiry Strike Bid / Ask Mark Delta IV OI Rel Sprd Ctrcts→0Δ Net Δ (1x) Cost (1x)
09/11/26 (36d)$125.0018.05 / 18.4018.23-0.57086.0%3951.9%1.07+0.04$1,823.00
SPCX 09/11/26 $125.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/3019.50 / 26.3022.90-0.557103.0%0
07/3125.40 / 26.2025.80+12.7%-0.591104.0%4
08/0322.20 / 22.9022.55-12.6%-0.526110.0%349
08/0416.00 / 16.8016.40-27.3%-0.429103.0%349
08/0522.45 / 23.8523.15+41.2%-0.63592.0%381
08/0618.05 / 18.4018.23-21.3%-0.57086.0%395
09/18/26 (43d)$125.0019.00 / 19.2019.10-0.55785.0%9,1481.0%1.10+0.05$1,910.00
SPCX 09/18/26 $125.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/28
07/29
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/2822.60 / 22.9022.75-0.498102.0%12,306
07/2924.20 / 24.6024.40+7.3%-0.536101.0%12,306
07/3024.10 / 24.5024.30-0.4%-0.542101.0%9,356
07/3126.30 / 26.6026.45+8.8%-0.579102.0%9,359
08/0323.10 / 23.4023.25-12.1%-0.517106.0%9,370
08/0417.05 / 17.4517.25-25.8%-0.426100.0%9,384
08/0523.80 / 24.0023.90+38.6%-0.61990.0%9,244
08/0619.00 / 19.2019.10-20.1%-0.55785.0%9,148
10/16/26 (71d)$125.0021.65 / 21.9021.78-0.52281.0%3,1871.1%1.17+0.09$2,178.00
SPCX 10/16/26 $125.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/28
07/29
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/2824.90 / 25.2025.05-0.47794.0%2,801
07/2926.40 / 26.8026.60+6.2%-0.51193.0%2,924
07/3026.40 / 26.7026.55-0.2%-0.51693.0%3,004
07/3128.50 / 28.9028.70+8.1%-0.54894.0%3,033
08/0325.40 / 25.8025.60-10.8%-0.49497.0%3,045
08/0419.75 / 20.2019.98-22.0%-0.41591.0%3,038
08/0526.10 / 26.4526.28+31.5%-0.57685.0%3,210
08/0621.65 / 21.9021.78-17.1%-0.52281.0%3,187
09/11/26 (36d)$119.0014.20 / 14.5514.38-0.49986.0%1112.4%1.22+0.11$1,438.00
SPCX 09/11/26 $119.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/3015.80 / 21.3018.55-0.494109.0%0
07/3121.20 / 21.9021.55+16.2%-0.538104.0%0
08/0318.40 / 19.0018.70-13.2%-0.472109.0%0
08/0412.80 / 13.6013.20-29.4%-0.372103.0%0
08/0518.70 / 19.0518.88+43.0%-0.57191.0%0
08/0614.20 / 14.5514.38-23.8%-0.49986.0%111
09/18/26 (43d)$120.0015.75 / 15.9515.85-0.50185.0%14,4751.3%1.22+0.11$1,585.00
SPCX 09/18/26 $120.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/28
07/29
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/2819.40 / 19.7019.55-0.456102.0%15,597
07/2920.90 / 21.2021.05+7.7%-0.494101.0%14,449
07/3020.80 / 21.1020.95-0.5%-0.500100.0%14,401
07/3122.80 / 23.1022.95+9.5%-0.537101.0%14,818
08/0319.90 / 20.2020.05-12.6%-0.475106.0%14,716
08/0414.35 / 14.7514.55-27.4%-0.382100.0%14,594
08/0520.25 / 20.5020.38+40.1%-0.56990.0%14,957
08/0615.75 / 15.9515.85-22.2%-0.50185.0%14,475
10/16/26 (71d)$120.0018.50 / 18.7018.60-0.47781.0%7,7731.1%1.28+0.13$1,860.00
SPCX 10/16/26 $120.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/28
07/29
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/2821.70 / 22.1021.90-0.44194.0%3,894
07/2923.10 / 23.5023.30+6.4%-0.47493.0%3,917
07/3023.00 / 23.3023.15-0.6%-0.47893.0%3,901
07/3125.00 / 25.4025.20+8.9%-0.51094.0%3,999
08/0322.20 / 22.6022.40-11.1%-0.45797.0%4,155
08/0416.85 / 17.4517.15-23.4%-0.37790.0%7,620
08/0522.65 / 22.9022.78+32.8%-0.53485.0%7,827
08/0618.50 / 18.7018.60-18.3%-0.47781.0%7,773
11/20/26 (106d)$125.0024.80 / 25.1024.95-0.49081.0%1,4251.2%1.24+0.12$2,495.00
SPCX 11/20/26 $125.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/28
07/29
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/2827.50 / 27.9027.70-0.45590.0%1,401
07/2928.90 / 29.4029.15+5.2%-0.48589.0%1,381
07/3028.90 / 29.3029.10-0.2%-0.48989.0%1,412
07/3130.90 / 31.4031.15+7.0%-0.51690.0%1,419
08/0328.00 / 28.4028.20-9.5%-0.47091.0%1,429
08/0422.45 / 23.2022.83-19.0%-0.40685.0%1,431
08/0528.80 / 29.1528.98+26.9%-0.53882.0%1,428
08/0624.80 / 25.1024.95-13.9%-0.49081.0%1,425
09/18/26 (43d)$115.0012.80 / 13.0012.90-0.44681.0%21,4731.6%1.37+0.16$1,290.00
SPCX 09/18/26 $115.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/28
07/29
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/2816.50 / 16.7016.60-0.41598.0%10,667
07/2917.70 / 18.1017.90+7.8%-0.450101.0%10,723
07/3017.60 / 17.9017.75-0.8%-0.454100.0%10,828
07/3119.50 / 19.8019.65+10.7%-0.492101.0%10,839
08/0316.80 / 17.1016.95-13.7%-0.430106.0%10,552
08/0411.85 / 12.2512.05-28.9%-0.337100.0%10,530
08/0516.95 / 17.1517.05+41.5%-0.51590.0%10,873
08/0612.80 / 13.0012.90-24.3%-0.44681.0%21,473
09/11/26 (36d)$114.0011.25 / 11.6511.45-0.43782.0%1023.5%1.40+0.17$1,145.00
SPCX 09/11/26 $114.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/3015.40 / 19.8017.60-0.445114.0%0
07/3117.90 / 18.6018.25+3.7%-0.490103.0%7
08/0315.40 / 16.1015.75-13.7%-0.427107.0%7
08/0410.40 / 11.1510.78-31.6%-0.325103.0%7
08/0515.40 / 15.7515.58+44.5%-0.51391.0%58
08/0611.25 / 11.6511.45-26.5%-0.43782.0%102
11/20/26 (106d)$120.0021.60 / 21.9021.75-0.45381.0%4,1811.4%1.35+0.16$2,175.00
SPCX 11/20/26 $120.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/28
07/29
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/2824.40 / 24.8024.60-0.42391.0%4,228
07/2925.70 / 26.1025.90+5.3%-0.45289.0%4,212
07/3025.60 / 26.0025.80-0.4%-0.45689.0%4,217
07/3127.50 / 28.0027.75+7.6%-0.48390.0%4,212
08/0324.70 / 25.2024.95-10.1%-0.43892.0%3,903
08/0419.75 / 20.4020.08-19.5%-0.37285.0%3,639
08/0525.35 / 25.7025.53+27.1%-0.50183.0%4,194
08/0621.60 / 21.9021.75-14.8%-0.45381.0%4,181
10/16/26 (71d)$115.0015.50 / 15.7515.63-0.43577.0%4,0071.6%1.40+0.17$1,563.00
SPCX 10/16/26 $115.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/28
07/29
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/2818.70 / 19.1018.90-0.40790.0%3,024
07/2920.00 / 20.3020.15+6.6%-0.43593.0%3,199
07/3019.90 / 20.3020.10-0.2%-0.43993.0%3,194
07/3121.70 / 22.1021.90+9.0%-0.47193.0%3,809
08/0319.20 / 19.6019.40-11.4%-0.41997.0%3,818
08/0414.40 / 14.9014.65-24.5%-0.33891.0%3,755
08/0519.40 / 19.6519.52+33.2%-0.48985.0%3,843
08/0615.50 / 15.7515.63-19.9%-0.43577.0%4,007
11/20/26 (106d)$115.0018.65 / 18.9018.77-0.42175.0%1,1641.3%1.45+0.19$1,877.00
SPCX 11/20/26 $115.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/28
07/29
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/2821.40 / 21.8021.60-0.39686.0%526
07/2922.60 / 23.0022.80+5.6%-0.41990.0%583
07/3022.50 / 22.9022.70-0.4%-0.42289.0%963
07/3124.30 / 24.7024.50+7.9%-0.44990.0%1,015
08/0321.70 / 22.1021.90-10.6%-0.41186.0%1,036
08/0417.15 / 17.7517.45-20.3%-0.33886.0%1,073
08/0522.10 / 22.4022.25+27.5%-0.46483.0%1,106
08/0618.65 / 18.9018.77-15.6%-0.42175.0%1,164
09/11/26 (36d)$110.009.20 / 9.559.38-0.38482.0%2583.7%1.59+0.23$938.00
SPCX 09/11/26 $110.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/3013.40 / 14.9014.15-0.42096.0%0
07/3115.50 / 16.1015.80+11.7%-0.450103.0%7
08/0313.20 / 13.9013.55-14.2%-0.387107.0%102
08/048.70 / 9.559.13-32.6%-0.288104.0%140
08/0513.00 / 13.3013.15+44.0%-0.46591.0%150
08/069.20 / 9.559.38-28.7%-0.38482.0%258
09/18/26 (43d)$110.0010.25 / 10.3510.30-0.38482.0%27,1071.0%1.59+0.23$1,030.00
SPCX 09/18/26 $110.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/28
07/29
07/30
07/31
08/03
08/04
08/05
08/06
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/2813.80 / 14.0013.90-0.37099.0%12,627
07/2914.80 / 15.1014.95+7.6%-0.40697.0%12,811
07/3014.80 / 15.0014.90-0.3%-0.41097.0%12,800
07/3116.40 / 16.7016.55+11.1%-0.445101.0%13,279
08/0314.20 / 14.3014.25-13.9%-0.385103.0%12,903
08/049.60 / 10.059.82-31.1%-0.292100.0%13,056
08/0513.90 / 14.1514.03+42.9%-0.45990.0%14,075
08/0610.25 / 10.3510.30-26.6%-0.38482.0%27,107
SCENARIOS — SPCX DOWN MOVE, HOLDING 61 SHARES + 1x 09/11/26 $125.00 PUT (estimate ⓘ)
MovePrice Shares P/L Put P/L (1x) Net P/L
-5%$109.17$-350.51+$348.98$-1.52
-10%$103.43$-701.01+$740.89$39.87
-15%$97.68$-1,051.52+$1,175.71$124.19
-20%$91.94$-1,402.02+$1,653.46$251.44
THE PROTECTIVE PUT CYCLE
1HEDGEBuy puts sized to your share delta (shares ÷ 100). A put whose delta matches makes the combined position ≈ delta neutral.
2STOCK DROPSShares lose value, but the puts gain roughly dollar-for-dollar (delta) plus acceleration (gamma).
3SELL PUTSHarvest the put gains after the down-move. Don't hold to expiry — theta eats the hedge.
4BUY SHARESUse the put proceeds to buy more shares at the lower price. Cost basis drops, share count grows.
5REPEATRe-hedge the larger position with new puts (recheck the table above — you now need more delta) and wait for the next leg down.
Adding positions: edit screeners/delta_neutral/delta_neutral_positions.json — add a ticker, share count, and strategy params (DTE window, min open interest, max spread), then rerun python generate_delta_neutral.py. Each position renders its own hedge card on this page. Scenario P/L is a delta+gamma estimate from real chain greeks; it ignores IV changes and time decay.